Solving the “Wasted Vote” and Other Problems
Several of the problems with
campaigns and elections in the US are due to the Plurality voting method we
use. The Vote Buddy idea described at www.VoteBuddy.org provides a temporary,
partial solution to the problems that can be used immediately in this year’s
elections. However, the long-term
solution is to get rid of Plurality voting and replace it with better voting
methods. This page provides an
introduction to the problems caused by Plurality voting, and presents some
better voting methods.
Problems with Plurality Voting
Plurality voting is the method used
in almost all public elections in the US. In Plurality voting, the voter is asked to vote for exactly one
candidate from a list of candidates for an office. Whoever gets the most votes wins. This method works fine when there are just two candidates. Unfortunately, it has major problems when
there are more than two candidates competing for an office.
Consider the 2000 presidential
election in Florida. If only Bush and
Gore had been on the ballots, Gore would have beaten Bush by about 51% to
49%. But Nader joined the race, and
some of the people who would have voted for Gore voted for Nader instead,
resulting in Bush 48.85%, Gore 48.84%, Nader 1.63%, and others 0.68%. Bush won, even though a majority of voters –
the Gore voters, and presumably most of the Nader voters – would have preferred
Gore.
Thus, Problem #1 with Plurality
voting is that a candidate can “split the vote” and cause a less-preferred
candidate to win over one who is preferred by more voters. Plurality voting can be undemocratic!
Problem #2 is that Plurality voting
can “punish” voters for voting for their favorite candidate, and it encourages
voters to “vote for the lesser of two evils.” In the Florida example, the Nader voters were punished by having Bush
win when they would have preferred Gore. If some of the Nader voters had voted for Gore instead, then Gore would
have won. Plurality voting creates a
terrible dilemma for voters who would like to vote for an alternative party
candidate. As we will see, there are
some better voting methods that reduce or eliminate that pressure to vote for
the lesser evil.
The pressure on voters to vote for
one of the two frontrunners leads to additional problems: Problem #3 is that voting results are not an
accurate indicator of voters’ true preferences, because many voters vote
strategically, rather than voting according to their sincere preferences. Problem #4 is that two parties tend to
become dominant and entrenched, and all other parties and independent
candidates have an extraordinarily difficult time attracting votes away from
the two dominant parties. We have a
two-party duopoly. This self-sustaining
situation is created, in part, by our use of Plurality voting. (See www.harrybrowne.org/articles/PraiseLibertarianParty.htm
for a list of five other obstacles to alternative party growth in the US.) The consequence is that voters usually have
only two choices of candidates for any given office that have any realistic
chance of winning. As Jesse Ventura
says, “That’s only one more choice than they had in the Soviet Union!”
Problem #5 may be of interest to
politicians and members of the establishment parties: Because only the
establishment parties have any realistic chance of winning, politicians who
want to win are forced to work within one of the establishment parties,
regardless of how well their own political values match those of their chosen
party. Conservatives who truly believe
in small government must be disgusted with the Republican Party, which has supported
increased levels of spending, year after year. Liberals who are truly anti-war and pro individual rights must be
uncomfortable with the previous administration’s pursuit of the Kosovo War and
the Drug War. Would not some of those
conservatives and liberals feel more at home in one of the alternative
parties? Plurality voting forces people
with widely differing political values to coexist within one or the other
establishment party. Approval Voting
and Condorcet Voting don’t create any special advantages for large, dominant
parties, nor do they create any special disadvantages for parties to split into
separate, smaller parties.
Problem #6 is that Plurality voting
creates some degree of hostility among parties that share similar political
values. For example, Democrats blame
Nader for costing them the election in Florida, and Republicans castigate
Libertarians for causing the Republicans to lose a few races. This (questionable) idea that politically
similar candidates “steal” votes from each other is due to Plurality voting,
which requires voters to vote for exactly one candidate for any given office;
it provides no mechanism that would allow voters to support more than one
candidate, or to list additional choices, should the voter’s first choice be
eliminated.
Having thoroughly dissed Plurality
voting, let me now present some better methods:
Approval Voting
One tiny change to Plurality voting
can make a world of difference. Instead
of requiring voters to vote for only one candidate, let them vote for as many
as they want. As with Plurality voting,
whoever gets the most votes wins.
That’s all there is to it! What could be simpler?!
Approval Voting lets alternative
party supporters vote for their favorite candidate, and they can also vote for
one of the establishment party candidates as a backup choice, in case their
favorite candidate doesn’t win. With
Approval Voting, there is never any reason not to vote for your
favorite candidate. Say goodbye (and
good riddance!) to the wasted vote dilemma!
True establishment party supporters
need not change their habits, and can continue to vote for their one favorite
candidate.
Approval Voting even offers a
benefit to establishment party politicians: Democrats don’t need to worry about Nader, Greens, and other left-wing
candidates siphoning votes away from Democrats. Republicans don’t need to worry about Libertarians and right-wing
candidates “stealing” votes from Republicans....
... That is, unless one of those
alternative party or independent candidates manages to attract more approval
votes than any other candidate. But,
what incumbent politician is going to admit that he doesn’t have the support of
the largest fraction of his constituency?
Compared with Plurality voting,
Approval Voting also gives a much clearer picture, in its voting results, of the
political preferences of the voters. That is because Plurality voting strongly discourages voting for
alternative party candidates (and thus hides the true level of support for
those candidates), while Approval Voting lets voters vote freely for whichever
candidates they “approve.” Making some
reasonable assumptions about voter behavior, if some candidate gets approval
votes from 10% of the voters, it means that 10% of the voters considered that
candidate to be as good or better than the expected winner of the race
(“expected winner” from the viewpoint of each individual voter at the time of
voting).
Approval Voting can be easily
accommodated by existing voting machines as well as by manual vote counting
procedures. This makes Approval Voting
a great choice for states or other voting districts that need to work within
tight budgets.
Some common concerns about Approval Voting
Does Approval Voting violate the
principle of “one person, one vote”?
As far as I can tell, the phrase
“one person, one vote” came from discussions of civil rights legislation in the
1960’s, and expressed the idea that state legislative districts should contain
equal numbers of people, as nearly as possible. In other words, people from different districts of a state should
have the same amount of representation in their state legislature. The phrase was never intended to dictate
what voting methods can be used in elections.
But, doesn’t Approval Voting give more power to voters
who approve more than one candidate for a given office?
Not really, according to several
arguments:
- Each voter gets the same ballot, and each voter gets
exactly one copy of the ballot. Each voter has equal opportunity to vote for as many or few of the
candidates as he or she wishes.
- A ballot which approves all but one candidate for an
office is exactly cancelled by a ballot which approves only that one
remaining candidate. Thus the two
ballots are of equal strength.
- Another way to describe Approval Voting is: For each candidate, indicate whether
you approve or disapprove that candidate. When viewed in that light, it is apparent that all voters have the
same voting power.
- Consider this slightly different voting method: Ask
voters to give each candidate a rating from 0 to 5. The ratings are added up for each candidate,
and whoever gets the highest rating wins. (This voting method is called Cardinal Ratings, and is discussed in
more detail at www.ElectionMethods.org/Cardinal.htm.) Does this seem like a fair voting
method? Assuming it does, notice
that Approval Voting is just a simplified version of Cardinal Ratings, in
which the only ratings allowed are 0 and 1. (As explained on the ElectionMethods web site, almost
nothing is lost by restricting the ratings to just 0 and 1.)
With Plurality Voting, the total number of votes for all
candidates for an office should be less than or equal to the number of
ballots. This provides a check on the
integrity of the ballot counting process. With Approval Voting, there could easily be more votes than ballots, so
that method of integrity checking is lost.
(I was surprised to hear this
objection from two different people.) I
agree with this concern and offer this solution: as mentioned above, ask voters
to explicitly approve or disapprove each candidate. The integrity of Approval Voting using the approve/disapprove
style of ballot should be about equal to the integrity of yes/no ballot issues. The only downside to explicit
approve/disapprove ballots is that they might be confusing to some voters who
are used to Plurality-style ballots.
I don’t want to vote for more than one candidate.
Fine. You don’t have to! But,
giving all voters the option of approving more than one candidate gets rid of
nearly all of the evils of Plurality voting that were listed above.
With Approval Voting, I can only approve or disapprove
each candidate; I can’t express different degrees of approval.
Consider Condorcet Voting, which is
presented after this summary.
Summary for Approval Voting
Approval Voting is by far the
simplest, cheapest, easiest to implement, practical alternative to Plurality
voting. It makes good choices of
winners, and is a vast improvement on Plurality voting. For further information, see:
www.electionmethods.org/Approval.htm
- Provides a good introduction, also contains some pages about voting strategy
under Approval Voting.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Approval_voting
- Another good introduction.
www.ApprovalVoting.com - An activist
site that promotes Approval Voting in the US.
www.ApprovalVoting.org - Related to
the previous site, but more educationally oriented. Contains many good links and references to more information.
groups.yahoo.com/group/ApprovalVoting/
- Discussion group for Approval Voting activists and other interested people.
Condorcet Voting
Condorcet voting asks voters to
rank the candidates (1st choice, 2nd choice, ...). The information on the ballots is used to
determine who would win in a round robin tournament among the candidates. (Note that you can tell, from the ranking
information on the ballots, whether more people prefer Bush over Kerry or vice
versa. And similarly for every other
pair of candidates.) If there is a
candidate that would beat every other candidate in the race, that candidate
wins the election. Otherwise, there is
a circular tie - for example, A beats B, B beats C, and C beats A. In that case, there are other rules that can
be applied to break the tie and choose the winner.
See www.electionmethods.org/CondorcetEx.htm
for details.
Condorcet voting is arguably the
fairest voting method, because if there is a candidate who would beat every
other candidate in head-to-head contests, that candidate will always be chosen
as the winner. Unlike Plurality voting,
Condorcet rarely or never provides a strong incentive to voters to vote
insincerely. Thus, Condorcet allows alternative parties to grow and to provide real
choices to voters.
Instant Runoff Voting (IRV)
IRV asks voters to rank the
candidates (1st choice, 2nd choice, …). The ballots are sorted by first choice
candidates. If there is a candidate who
has a majority of the ballots in his pile, that candidate wins. Otherwise, the candidate with the fewest
ballots is eliminated, and his ballots are redistributed according to the next
choice of candidate shown on each ballot. If some candidate now has a majority of the ballots, that candidate
wins. Otherwise, the candidate who now
has the fewest ballots in her pile is eliminated, her ballots are
redistributed, and the process repeats until some candidate has a majority of
the ballots.
My opinion is that IRV is better
than the Plurality method we have now, but it is not nearly as good as either
Condorcet or Approval Voting. IRV has
several problems, including: it does not always choose the beats-all winner
when there is one; and it can still create an incentive for voters to vote
insincerely (e.g. IRV can encourage voters to rank a lesser-evil candidate as 1st
choice and their favorite candidate as 2nd choice).
See www.electionmethods.org/IRVexample.htm
for more details.
www.electionmethods.org/IRVing2.html
shows some examples of IRV problems.
Conclusions
The Vote Buddy idea should be
vigorously promoted for the 2004 election. This technique is available now and provides some relief from the wasted
vote problem.
Condorcet or Approval Voting should
be promoted to state legislators for use in public elections (stress fairness,
and a way to avoid the spoiler effect). Condorcet is the fairest method. Approval Voting is the cheapest and easiest alternative to implement, it
frees voters to vote for their favorite candidates, and it also makes good
choices of winners. IRV allows minor
party voters to freely vote for their favorite candidates as 1st choices - only
as long as those candidates have no chance of winning. IRV has problems when there are three or
more candidates of roughly equal strength; therefore I don't enthusiastically
endorse IRV.
Postscript - To those who are interested in promoting alternative voting
methods
If you want to promote Approval
Voting, join the ApprovalVoting Yahoo group at groups.yahoo.com/group/ApprovalVoting/. If you want to promote IRV in your state,
join the InstantRunoffXX Yahoo group, where "XX" is your state
abbreviation. If you want to promote
Condorcet, I don't know of a group dedicated to that. You could try inquiring at the ElectionMethods mailing list -
join at electorama.com/em.
I tried to promote Approval Voting
in Maine in Feb/March 2003. At that
time, the Maine legislature was considering implementing IRV for statewide
elections. (See my "Maine lobbying
reports" in the ApprovalVoting Yahoo group archives for detailed reports
about my discussions with several Maine politicians.) The IRV bill was tabled in 2003 because of concerns about cost of
implementation. The bill was
reintroduced in 2004. This time, the
bill was passed in a completely amended form which just calls for the Secretary
of State to study and report on the cost of implementing IRV.
Most Democrats in the legislature
voted for the amended bill; all the Republicans opposed it. The Democrats have a strong majority in the
Maine legislature. I have no idea why
the support for the bill was so partisan.
I think it's a shame that they
didn't consider Approval Voting this year, since cost is such a concern. If they had considered Approval Voting,
perhaps they would have passed it in time for use in this November's election. Wouldn't that have been exciting?!
This article was contributed by Jan Kok (kok at surfbest
dot net).
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